> Consumer SSD prices are likely to be cheaper than rotating media by the end
> of the decade, however these are multibit per cell devices and not suitable
> for backup purposes. Single bit/cell devices are tracking along the same
> lines though and I'd give them another 5 years to achieve parity.
>
The main reason why I do not think that any technology will be able to
replace tape or hard drive in the next 10 years is that neither of
these have hit a capacity barrier yet and I expect to see both break
5TB in the next 10 years and do so at current drive/tape prices. This
will be very difficult for any SSD to match. I believe a very large
breakthrough would be necessary to drastically increase the densities
of current technologies or some new technology needs to be discovered.

John

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