Networker

Re: [Networker] Long term retention question

2006-01-05 17:31:26
Subject: Re: [Networker] Long term retention question
From: "Peter L. Buschman" <plblists AT IOTK DOT COM>
To: NETWORKER AT LISTSERV.TEMPLE DOT EDU
Date: Thu, 5 Jan 2006 23:30:34 +0100
I'm not sure capacity is even important in this context. Readability / recoverability is.

How many tapes will go un-migrated over the next 50 years, even if they are retained that long?

How much data from the Apollo era has gone missing for the same reason? How many classic films have
deteriorated so much that they must now be "restored" from original films?

In archival circles, the term LE500 (Life Expectancy 500) denotes that media is expected to last for 500 years under normal storage conditions, yet this is solely for analog media. None of this exists for digital media. There are few guarantees beyond 3 years, let alone 10 or 30 or 100 depending on which industry
you work in.

I have a few thoughts in this direction, but as you say, that is another topic...

--PLB

At 11:16 PM 1/5/2006, you wrote:

Peter L. Buschman wrote:
What media are you using that will last 99 years?
The first company that provides an answer to that question that works with NetWorker, NetBackup, TSM, etc., has a ready-made market.

I wouldn't even try to guess the typical capacity of a piece of backup media in 99 years, or even 20.

History seems to show that we have previously underestimated the pace of future progress in IT. There's still an old joke in the fortune program that's almost not funny because it's so close to the truth these days. I will share...



Imagine that Cray computer decides to make a personal computer. It has a 1500 MHz processor, 200 megabytes of RAM, 150 gigabytes of disk storage, a screen resolution of 1600x1600 pixels, relies entirely on voice recognition for input, fits in your shirt pocket, and costs £300.

What's the first question that the computer community asks?

"Is it PC compatible?"


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